Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 313 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow

DL 313 · HNL → MSP

departs 4:20 PM HT · arrives 5:02 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.31 in

MSP (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 313 · HNL → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?