Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1113 LANDED 9:14 AM MT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

F9 1113 · TPA → DEN

took off 7:56 AM ET · landed 9:14 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1113 · TPA → DEN

Odds over time