Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
F9 1425 · DFW → SAN
departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 50%
Sat 10/3 48%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 38%
Tue 10/6 31%
Wed 10/7 31%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.