Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
F9 1954 · MCO → BQN
departs 11:17 PM ET · arrives 2:10 AM AT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 26%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at BQN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BQN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BQN
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BQN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.