Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2184
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 2184 · TPA → CLE
departs 9:52 PM ET · arrives 12:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 64%
Fri 10/2 42%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.