Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2499
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 2499 · PHL → PBI
departs 4:34 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 26%
Mon 10/5 31%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.