F9 3134 · CLT → LGA

departs 3:48 PM ET · arrives 5:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3134 · CLT → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?