Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3322
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 3322 · MIA → RDU
departs 3:07 PM ET · arrives 5:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 49%
Fri 10/2 27%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.16 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.