tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4404 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

F9 4404 · MCO → PHL

took off 7:04 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:40 PM ET → 9:26 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.