Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 3381 · DFW → ABQ
departs 4:03 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 29%
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.