Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3381 · DFW → ABQ
departs 4:03 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.