Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3381 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3381 · DFW → ABQ

departs 4:03 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.83 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3381 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?