Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3381 · DFW → ABQ
departs 4:03 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 47%
Sat 10/3 36%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.19 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.