MQ 3431 · DFW → CLL

departs 10:55 PM CT · arrives 11:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?

90% chance · ±0 pts +44 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLL?

On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ CLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

CLL (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3431 · DFW → CLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLL?