Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3555
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3555 · MIA → TPA
departs 5:59 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 22%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↑
5pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.24 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.