Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3555
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3555 · TPA → MIA
departs 7:41 PM ET · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Fri 10/2 49%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 28%
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
7pm departures from TPA are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.