Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3567 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

MQ 3567 · DFW → RAP

departs 8:03 PM CT · arrives 9:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

RAP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3567 · DFW → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?