Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3576 · HRL → DFW
departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 58%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 5%
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.