Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3678 · MEM → DFW
departs 5:19 PM CT · arrives 7:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 88%
Fri 10/2 68%
Sat 10/3 51%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
25%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 76% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.