Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3787 · DFW → MFE
departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 7:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 66%
Fri 10/2 58%
Sat 10/3 48%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±0 pts
+29 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.