Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3883 · MOB → DFW
departs 7:37 PM CT · arrives 9:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 65%
Fri 10/2 51%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MOB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MOB (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.