Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3883 · MOB → DFW
departs 7:37 PM CT · arrives 9:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 78%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 52%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±15 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave MOB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MOB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.10 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.