Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3969
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3969 · AEX → DFW
departs 5:41 PM CT · arrives 7:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 64%
Fri 10/2 51%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
77%
Arrive 1h+ late
50%
Cancelled
48%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 85% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 77% · changed +54 pts in 24h
+54 pts
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +38 pts in 24h
+38 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +43 pts in 24h
+43 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
48%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
AEX usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AEX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.85 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.