Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 4008 · LIT → DFW
departs 5:38 PM CT · arrives 7:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 88%
Fri 10/2 65%
Sat 10/3 56%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 71% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.