Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5170 LANDED 11:19 AM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OH 5170 · DCA → SYR

took off 10:19 AM ET · landed 11:19 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5170 · DCA → SYR

Odds over time