Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5257 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

OH 5257 · AVL → CLT

departs 5:00 AM ET · arrives 6:07 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at AVL that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.02 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5257 · AVL → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?