Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3538
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 3538 · FSD → MSP
departs 4:26 PM CT · arrives 5:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
FSD is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.