Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3561
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3561 · MSP → FSD
departs 9:05 AM CT · arrives 10:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into FSD at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
FSD (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.