Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3561
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3561 · MSP → FSD
departs 9:05 AM CT · arrives 10:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 6%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into FSD at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
FSD (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.