OO 3869 · DTW → ELM

took off 11:06 AM ET · landed 11:58 AM ET (scheduled 10:52 AM ET → 12:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ELM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ELM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ELM that day

↓ ELM usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

ELM (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3869 · DTW → ELM

Odds over time

How late did it get to ELM?