Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 4912 · DFW → ASE
departs 10:50 AM CT · arrives 12:21 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 45%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
10am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.