Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4912 · DFW → ASE
departs 10:50 AM CT · arrives 12:21 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
10am departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.37 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.