OO 5314 · ORD → LNK

departs 7:51 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LNK?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
44%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at LNK that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.86 in

LNK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5314 · ORD → LNK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LNK?