Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5314 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5314 · ORD → LNK

departs 7:51 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±7 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LNK?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LNK

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,067 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.20 in

LNK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5314 · ORD → LNK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LNK?