Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 5842 · ORD → MKE
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 9:53 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±2 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Arrivals into MKE at that hour are usually not late
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.55 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.