Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5842 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5842 · ORD → MKE

departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 9:53 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility3.66667 mi Precip0.43 in

MKE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5842 · ORD → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?