Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5842 · ORD → MKE
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 9:53 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Arrivals into MKE at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.