Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6204
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
OO 6204 · OKC → ORD
departs 11:04 AM CT · arrives 1:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 48%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
51%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.62 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.