Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6212
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
OO 6212 · ORD → FWA
departs 10:37 PM CT · arrives 12:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 67%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
85%
chance · ±0 pts
+40 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
85%
Leave 15+ late
83%
Arrive 1h+ late
67%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed +40 pts in 24h
+40 pts
85%
Yes 85%
No 15%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +36 pts in 24h
+36 pts
83%
Yes 83%
No 17%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +51 pts in 24h
+51 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.95 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.