Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6445 · TYS → ORD
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 12:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.