Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6445 · TYS → ORD
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 12:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.