Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 6445 · TYS → ORD
departs 11:24 AM ET · arrives 12:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Thu 10/1 46%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.08 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.