Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4405 · DAL → MCO
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 11:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 64%
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3 24%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.