Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4405 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 4405 · DAL → MCO

departs 8:30 PM CT · arrives 12:15 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ 8pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.13 in

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4405 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?