Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4405 · DAL → MCO
departs 8:30 PM CT · arrives 12:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 24%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±12 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
8pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.73 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.