Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4518
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4518 · BNA → CLT
departs 7:40 PM CT · arrives 10:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 26%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at CLT that day
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.