Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4732 LANDED 9:06 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

YX 4732 · MEM → DCA

took off 6:11 AM CT · landed 9:06 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4732 · MEM → DCA

Odds over time