tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1286 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1286 · MIA → RDU

departs 9:47 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±2 pts +11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.