tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1286 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1286 · MIA → RDU

departs 9:47 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.0d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.