Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1318 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 1318 · CLT → BWI

departs 10:45 PM ET · arrives 12:14 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1318 · CLT → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?